Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.021245 0.022823 0.024466 0.026306 0.028312 0.030434 0.032852
2024-10-13 0.018469 0.020718 0.023183 0.026091 0.029439 0.033186 0.037711
2024-10-20 0.016367 0.018954 0.021897 0.025510 0.029846 0.034913 0.041321
2024-10-27 0.015228 0.018104 0.021478 0.025758 0.031081 0.037534 0.046028
2024-11-03 0.014214 0.017273 0.020957 0.025763 0.031924 0.039636 0.050147
2024-11-10 0.013519 0.016754 0.020743 0.026078 0.033110 0.042176 0.054939
2024-11-17 0.012664 0.015958 0.020104 0.025772 0.033423 0.043546 0.058213
2024-11-24 0.011996 0.015352 0.019655 0.025657 0.033945 0.045181 0.061911
2024-12-01 0.011316 0.014682 0.019071 0.025306 0.034093 0.046275 0.064876
2024-12-08 0.010854 0.014274 0.018804 0.025357 0.034780 0.048135 0.069046
2024-12-15 0.010302 0.013709 0.018289 0.025020 0.034875 0.049124 0.071951
2024-12-22 0.009745 0.013109 0.017690 0.024522 0.034692 0.049671 0.074182
2024-12-29 0.009307 0.012657 0.017282 0.024283 0.034885 0.050801 0.077431
2025-01-05 0.008897 0.012226 0.016881 0.024030 0.035036 0.051867 0.080640
2025-01-12 0.008432 0.011696 0.016311 0.023490 0.034707 0.052149 0.082557
2025-01-19 0.008221 0.011522 0.016250 0.023713 0.035569 0.054360 0.087865
2025-01-26 0.007964 0.011268 0.016057 0.023717 0.036076 0.056013 0.092319
2025-02-02 0.007798 0.011143 0.016048 0.024002 0.037046 0.058478 0.098378
2025-02-09 0.007499 0.010802 0.015696 0.023725 0.037069 0.059341 0.101590
2025-02-16 0.007260 0.010545 0.015461 0.023620 0.037371 0.060688 0.105784
2025-02-23 0.006984 0.010219 0.015106 0.023302 0.037289 0.061353 0.108726
2025-03-02 0.006810 0.010043 0.014977 0.023348 0.037829 0.063144 0.113961
2025-03-09 0.006564 0.009748 0.014647 0.023042 0.037737 0.063784 0.116969